Tuesday, January 27, 2004

One last poll...

before the real polls close. I've watched the race through the ARG filter for weeks, and this is where they end up with their final track. The numbers in parentheses are their last best guess, based on the trends, and they're honest enough to clearly label it as such, while providing the final numbers developed through their standard methodology. There's a lesson here for some other polling operations.

Kerry 35 (35)
Dean 25 (29)
Edwards 15 (16)
Clark 13 (13)
Lieberman 6 (6)
Kucinich 1 (1)
Sharpton 0 (0)
Undecided 5 (0)

I'll stick with my prediction that Kerry will hit 40%, because the one factor that no one seems to be talking about is the Shaheen GOTV machine, which I think is worth at least 5% in New Hampshire.

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